I'll
say it again: "Past performance is not a guarantee of future results."
My two flagship funds, Pettit Mutual Fund #1 and Pettit Energy Fund,
have done exceedingly well since inception, but, frankly, I don't believe
that they will sustain the kind of annual return that they have had--approaching
50% per annum over the last 2 l/2 years. Nobody is likely to do that.
I
do believe that I can continue to beat the market--but I could be completely
wrong. Only time will tell.
I've
only been investing with this particular methodology for 5 years--less
than 3 with Marketocracy. While these results are encouraging, this
is still a relatively brief period of time.
And
I HAVE had one experiment that has NOT done well. Here's the chart for
my Pettit Health Care Fund:

Pettit Health Care Fund
Should Have Just Said "No"...
I
strayed from my "value" approach with this fund, which specializes in
the drug company sector. The stocks this fund "purchased" had high price/earnings
ratios, unlike the stocks in the rest of my more value-oriented funds.
It has finally made some money, but has underperformed the market as
a whole. This fund taught me to stick with my strengths. Consequently,
there will be no more "experimenting with drugs"...
The
stock market is very volatile, and some of my funds have been
even more volatile than the market as a whole. Almost any system of
investing in stocks is going to be a bit of a roller coaster ride, and
not for the overly-faint of heart. I can pretty much guarantee that
every year will see some period of time when my funds (and just about
any fund) will drop at least 10% from their peak. If you'll
look at the charts on the Home Page, you'll see that happen several
times.
If
you are someone who is intolerant of this kind of risk, stocks are perhaps
not for you (although I certainly urge you to read and study this issue--I
personally think that almost everyone should have some stock holdings
in their portfolio. Some will disagree.)
Stocks
in general are going to go up and down, sometimes dizzyingly. Over the
long haul, they have returned in excess of 10% per annum, but...there
have been some pretty medium-long hauls when you would have done much
better investing in something else. October 27, 1987, the market dropped
over 20% in one day!
But...it
came back. So far, it always has.